US Foreclosures Fall 14% in November as Lenders Freeze Evictions for Holidays

Just as the Germans and Brits played football on the battlefields across Europe on Christmas day, the US' banks are calling ceasefire on litigious battles as they suspend evictions and foreclosure proceedings for the holiday period.

According to real estate data collection agency RealtyTrac the widespread move brought a 14% decline in the number of foreclosures last month, with 224,394 properties receiving default notices last month. The number of foreclosures also declined on a monthly basis, with 1 in 579 households receiving foreclosure notices in November, compared to 1 in 563 in October.

The firm's chief executive James Saccacio said that the eviction moratorium is partially behind the numbers:

Despite the fall in filings the number of scheduled foreclosure auctions hit a nine-month high. Saccacio explained: "[The] first quarter typically is a better buying season, so you’ll see more of this inventory try to come to market.

"I expect 2012 to look similar to 2011 in volume if nothing changes with government intervention regulations."

With 1 in 175 homes receiving foreclosure notices in November, Nevada remains the worst affected state for the 59th consecutive month. California (one in 211) came second, while Arizona was third (one in 256).

Saccacio's prediction that 2012 volumes will be largely the same as 2011 has to be looked upon as disappointing and pessimistic. For America 2012 will be almost the 7th year of housing market collapse and still we are not to see any improvement? Optimists would say that the rapid rush of auctions in Q1 combined with the foreclosure moratorium will make a big space to clear a large chunk of foreclosure inventory in Q1, setting the way for the rest of the year. Time will tell who is right.

Property Prices in Malta Fall for Second Consecutive Quarter

According to an index compiled by the Central Bank of Malta, property prices in the country have declined for their second consecutive quarter, falling by 2.6% in the three months to March. The prices of advertised property have also dropped by 2.6% year-on-year during the first quarter of this year compared to an annual rate of 2% during the previous quarter.

Apparently this fall was largely due to lower asking prices for terraced houses and for properties which are classified as being "other" properties, which includes houses of character, villas and townhouses.

Prices of terraced houses have fallen for three consecutive quarters, declining by 6.1% year-on-year, while prices for properties considered to be in the "other" category have declined by 12.8%.

However prices of apartments which account for almost three fifths of properties surveyed, increased by 1% compared to a year ago. The number of properties advertised for sale during the first quarter of 2011 decreased by 9.9% compare to a year earlier.

Although this news may seem gloomy, the Central Bank is still predicting economic growth to be 2.5% this year, compared to 3.2% last year when the economy rebounded strongly.

Investment spending was also strong in 2010, and is predicted to grow by 10.2% this year, with much of it being due to government investment in infrastructure and non-dwelling private investment.

Exports are predicted to grow by 5.5% this year, and all this positive news is expected to ease unemployment rates. Unemployment is predicted to decline to 6.4% this year which is pretty respectable.

Property Prices in Australia Fall Unexpectedly

Property prices in Australia are continuing to fall, as new figures for June show they have now declined for three straight months. One index showed that property prices in eight major cities dropped by 0.1% during the last quarter, and they are now at their lowest level since 2009. However the price falls in some cities were much larger, as property prices fell by 1% in Perth, and by 1.6% in Darwin. They are still continuing to rise in some cities as they increased by 0.4% in Sydney, and by 1.1% in Canberra.

Australia currently has the highest interest rates in the developed world, at 4.75%, although it has just been decided to keep rates the same for another month in spite of worries over high inflation figures. Rates have been increased seven times between October 2009 and November 2010.

The number of permits to build new homes, or to renovate existing houses and apartments fell by 3.5% from May, and building approvals have fallen by 15.5% year on year to June. This was unexpected as economists had been predicting a 3% increase in approvals during June, and a 10.3% fall for the year. Some analysts are taking the view that a fall in building approvals is good for house prices and should ensure that there aren't any real significant price drops in the future.

In spite of these gloomy figures, the medium to long-term outlook looks good, as economic growth is expected to boost the housing sector. There is a strong underlying demand for new homes, as around 135,000 units are built when there is a need for 200,000 new homes annually.

Experts predict a long, slow struggle for US housing market

Experts are predicting that the American housing market will take a long time to return to any sort of normality, due to the huge number of foreclosures and empty homes, while the proposed 20% minimum deposit threatens to limit the number of buyers able to get on the property ladder.

The vice-chairman of the US Federal reserve, Janet Yellen, has said that the recovery will be long and drawn out, and that the Fed must work hard with other agencies to help clear the current stock of vacant properties and to prevent further foreclosures.

There were around 2 million vacant homes during the first quarter of this year, and the inventory of unsold property is likely to stay high for quite some time, increasing the downward pressure on house prices.

Americans are still having considerable difficulty getting finance, and the Federal Reserve is now trying to persuade lenders that all mortgages should meet higher underwriting standards as an alternative to foreclosure. Robert Shiller, the US economist responsible for the Case Shiller index predicts that house prices could fall by a further 10% to 25% during the next five years.

A minimum 20% deposit has been proposed by six federal regulators, but angry critics say this will prevent a large percentage of the population from ever buying their own home, condemning them to rent for ever.

There are worries that the only people who will be able to get mortgages in the future will be the very wealthy, with other potential buyers being either excluded or charged higher rates.

US new home purchases at record low

Homebuyers in the US are shunning new homes as purchases are now at record low levels with the figures for April showing that the property market remains a weak link in the US recovery.

The number of new homes sold in April was 300,000 which is the same as March, but it seems as if buyers are choosing to purchase previously owned homes which is having a serious effect on homebuilders.

The figures for this months new-home sales are not expected to show any significant improvement. The high levels of foreclosures will continue to have a negative effect on property prices. Unemployment levels are now at 9% and wages are remaining static.

When this is combined with tighter credit regulations it seems likely that a recovery in the housing market will take years. Steve Blitz, a senior economist for ITG Investment Research Inc in New York feels that new-home sales will remain depressed due to the considerable housing inventory.

The chief financial officer of D.R. Horton, Bill Wheat feels that demand will remain weak into 2012. D.R. Horton is the second largest homebuilder in the US.

Housing starts fell by 11% in April to 523,000, as builders have already begun to cut backoreLogic Inc estimated in March that there were 1.8 million homes that were more than three months delinquent, already in foreclosure or bank owned, and there are already 3.87 million pre-owned homes on the market which will continue to affect sales of new houses.

At the peak of the market, new-home sales accounted for 16% in July 2005, while in March they accounted for just 5.6% of the market.