Increasing numbers of Hong Kong homeowners are falling into negative equity, with the estimated number of mortgages underwater rising to 1,653 at the end of the third quarter compared to just 48 three months earlier, with loans worth $528 million.
This increase provides clear evidence that prices in Hong Kong are declining, and experts expect them to fall even further, especially with the risk of a global economic slowdown. The number of home transactions has fallen for 9 straight months, and prices declined by 3% between June and August. There are grim predictions that property prices may fall by as much as 30% by 2013, and the number of loans in negative equity is now at its highest level since the second quarter of 2009. However it's nowhere near as bad as the peak of 106,000 which was reached at the end of June 2003 at the end of the six-year slump which saw property prices decline by up to two thirds.
During the past year the government has implemented a number of cooling measures in response to the public outcry over price increases of up to 70% since early 2009. It has raised the minimum deposit required on some mortgage loans and has increased land sales in an effort to ease the shortage of new apartments which has partially been caused by an increase in buyers from other parts of China. Mortgage rates have also increased five times since March. While falling into negative equity is obviously bad news for these homeowners, it is good news for others who may find property prices finally becoming within reach.
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